181: The Burden of Proof

I could have been a lawyer.

My grades were pretty good. The degree I have is often considered a stepping stone into law. I know how to make a good argument. I have been told by many people that my public speaking skills are excellent.

I would have had a good opportunity to go into law, but I didn’t. One reason I chose to avoid that path was the fact that my closest brush with legal affairs was observing my parents divorce. Family law is messy and gross, and watching their ugly divorce unfold left me disgusted. I didn’t want any part of it.

I might have been more interested if I had been exposed to civil or criminal cases. There is something about that kind of law which I find intriguing. It’s full of fascinating ideas, things like the burden of proof resting with the prosecution, or innocent until proven guilty. Our legal system is designed to protect people who are accused from being wrongfully condemned. The results of being found guilty can be heavy indeed: you could be sent to jail for years, you could pay heavy fines, in some case you could even lose your life.

Our legal system recognizes the serious consequences of being found guilty, so it puts the burden of proof in the hands of the prosecution. Many people to this day believe that O.J. Simpson killed his wife, but the jury did not find the proof presented by the prosecution convincing enough to merit a verdict of guilty.

All very interesting, but I didn’t become a lawyer.

Instead I’m sitting in this podunk town in Wisconsin, writing a blog and driving around taking measurements for construction bids. Since construction has been deemed an essential industry in Wisconsin I have been working throughout the quarantine. The majority of my work day is spent driving. When I get to a construction site I ask a few basic questions of the contractor or homeowner, and then spend an hour or two recording measurements.

I met a homeowner today at a house she will be moving into next month, and like many people these days, she was starved for human interaction. (I had a guy corner me in a gas station a few days ago and spend fifteen minutes pouring out his heart about how his wife had used natural remedies to cure herself from stage 5 cancer. Never seen him before, and he didn’t know me from Adam.) Anyway, she was starved for human interaction, and nervously stood on the other side of the room talking while I completed the measurements. She was retired, and struggling with some serious health issues that her husband was facing. Almost as an afterthought she told me that over the last month and a half she had lost over $30,000 in investments she had saved for retirement.

I think that traveling around and listening to stories like this makes me a better writer than practicing law would. When Lawyers talk to their clients there’s always an agenda. I get to talk to people and listen to them with absolutely no agenda or goal in mind. I just hear what they say and take it in.

Of course, there are some stories that I probably don’t hear. Nobody wants to tell a random guy doing measurements on their house the really nasty stuff. I guess lawyers are probably hearing plenty of those stories these days, as domestic violence has been dramatically on the rise since the beginning of the lockdowns. It’s hard to get exact numbers from the United States, but the agencies that deal with these things are reporting serious rises in abuse.

The numbers from other countries are easier to come by. Reports of domestic violence in China tripled in February as compared to a year ago. A charity in Great Britain which deals with domestic abuse issues has seen a 25% surge in calls to their hotline since the lockdown began. All across the globe, from France, to Palestine to the United States, Women and children in volatile relationships have no way to escape from abuse, mistreatment and even death.

These domestic issues are compounded by very real economic issues. Almost anyone who has been in a serious relationship can attest to the fact that domestic tensions rise when finances become tight. Over the last six weeks at least twenty-six million jobs have been lost in the United States. How many find themselves unemployed globally is hard to say, but there is no doubt that millions upon millions of families around the world are now struggling to put food on the table.

Problems like the inability to pay bills, uncertainty about what should be achieved in a given day, the mundaneness of staying at home and the bleakness of isolation create a myriad of psychological issues. It is no secret that the mental health of people around the globe who are shut inside their houses is suffering severely.

Many people in the United States have started to have serious concerns about their civil liberties. We have a bill of rights enshrined in our Constitution, and it is probably the one element of our government which we cherish the most. This document guaranties the freedom of our citizens to assemble and worship as they please. During the lockdown this freedom has been suspended. For many Americans this is a major concern.
Given all of these serious issues it is fair to ask what is being gained by the extreme measures we are taking. Sweden has implemented measures which are much looser than measures taken elsewhere across the globe, but the disease statistics from that country seem relatively similar to the statistics from other countries. Florida has been seriously criticized for their laxness in dealing with the virus, yet the statistics on the disease from that state are on average with the country. Wisconsin was seriously criticized for holding elections during the pandemic, but there was no statistical bump in cases after that election.

Many people looking at Sweden’s approach to the virus now are saying that it’s possible that their approach is working, but we should probably wait and see. I’m not sure that I agree with that. Our approach to this virus has produced undeniable human and financial costs which millions of people will spend the rest of their lives struggling to overcome. If it is unclear that we are gaining anything through the draconian measures we have taken, then why is it necessary to continue them?

If you support a policy that is causing millions upon millions of women and children around the world to suffer serious abuse, is seriously harming the mental health of millions, is causing widespread joblessness and financial ruin, is destroying the retirement savings of people who have toiled their entire lives, and is seriously undermining civil rights, is asking to see tangible benefits from that policy unreasonable?

The burden of proof for such a policy’s effectiveness should not rest on those who question its merits. If you support this policy, then the burden of proof lies on you.

Photo by Luis Quintero on Pexels.com

55 thoughts on “181: The Burden of Proof

  1. You’ve put words in print for many. I couldn’t agree more with what you are saying (different country, similar scenario). I’ve lost all form of money coming in these last 6 weeks with nothing promised for the future. Part of the problem is that nearly all my work comes from the States (translating chemistry) and the US government is helping businesses and I’m sure a priority for those businesses is not to pay someone in New Zealand! It’s quite a worry, but a “consolation” to know there are victims worse off than oneself.I don’t have any dependents other than a dog and a cat – so I’ll eat grass if I have to. Thanks again for the cannon fire.

      • Yes – eating grass is not a good idea, especially if I run out of T.Paper. It’s good that you take a stand, and you’re so right with saying the burden of proof rests with the instigators. I hope you keep saying it on your blog (not all the time mind you) but this old automobile needs to be revved up now and again.

      • For sure. It amuses me that people are arguing that our response to this has been rational immediately after a run on toilet paper, but anyway… It scares the hell out of me to post opinions like this. I know that a lot of people who appreciate my normal content have very different political ideas than me, and I get nervous that I’m undoing something by being so blatantly opinionated. But hey, this is the biggest platform I have for communication, and I think this is an important thing to communicate, so I’m throwing caution to the wind.

      • I used to have quite a biggish following on my blog, and when a certain person was elected leader of a country I extolled his virtues and critiqued the opposing candidate (Hillary shall remain nameless). My followers sank to a trickle over night! But I/me/myself think you’ve done right.

      • Well thank you. If the masses stopped following my blog it really wouldn’t be the end of the world. I would still be making exactly the same amount of money from it!

  2. Wow. I like it when you step out of the dumb persona. You could’ve been a great lawyer, no doubt. There is a lot to think about here.

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  4. Some interesting points, strongly made.

    I’d just like to add the one that we’re most conscious of in the UK: that the restrictions seem to be saving our health services from becoming overwhelmed. There’s no doubt the restrictions are impacting in lots of unpleasant ways, but I keep coming back to the realisation that for many people, this is a life or death situation, and I’d like to not think of myself as unwittingly spreading this virus.

    • I don’t question the good will of people who support these measures. Just consider that lives are ending as a result of these restrictions through abuse, malnutrition, etc. It’s not like people who die from COVID are the only people who die. In America our hospitals are so empty that they are having to lay off employees in droves.

  5. Interesting post. Well written, and there’s not a single thing that you wrote that is incorrect. I think America is too huge of a country to generalise, and the social attitudes of the United States vary so much it’s impossible to summarise the country in a blanket statement. Those in Maine may have a totally different outlook on life, politics, and economics to those in Arkansas, for example.
    I don’t think anybody can argue that the lockdown is Draconian and comes with its own inherent problems – human beings weren’t meant to be in captivity for large amounts of time, and the strain it’s putting on everyone is starting to show over here in the UK.
    However, it is interesting to see how our American counterparts have responded. I understand it would be unfair to point fingers at the idiots (and there’s plenty of them over here and in the world) but I can’t look past the fact that this lockdown has brought out the worst of the United States. Again, not all – but some.
    I find America’s health care system disgusting. This is no fault of you or any other citizen, but paying for healthcare is not freedom, in my opinion, and in the opinion of many others outside the US. Our NHS is beloved – and this lockdown is saving it from being overrun. They don’t get paid enough, and government calling them ‘heroes’ is patronising – a few years ago, Boris Johnson wanted to sell it off. If they are true heroes (which they are) – pay them more, don’t just pat them on the back.
    Yes, Sweden has had very loose restrictions on life, and has one of the highest death rates because of it. Although only 18,000 cases have been reported, 2,000 of those have been fatal. That fatality rate is even higher than in the U.S.
    Kentucky ‘patriots’ saw a huge surge in cases after its protests. Michigan famously did the same thing and is now burying dead in their thousands. This lockdown is nowhere near perfect, and every point you make is correct, but someone needs to remind these protesters that this is a medical concern, not one of government. Hurling abuse at medical staff (as was seen in the protests) is not ok – I’d rather take the advice of professionals rather than some pissed off Kentucky guy who gets all his opinions from Facebook.
    Just because people’s freedom is being impacted doesn’t automatically make it bad – and don’t even get me started on the President, yes he’s an easy target, but his narcissism, lies, and failure to act early make the whole United States look like the laughing stock we all know it is sometimes. However, this time it’s not funny – as the dead keep piling up.
    I have nothing but positive things to say about everyday American citizens. I love visiting the U.S. because its landscape, variety, and people are some of the best in the world. So when I make these points I’m referring to the government and infrastructure of the country, not the everyday people who make the nation so great. I’m not addressing this comment to you, rather just venting an outside opinion towards the U.S. state as a whole.
    Again, I’m not defending lockdown – it’s destroying the economy and is bringing out a mental health crisis along with it. To say otherwise would be delusional on my part.
    Stay safe, man, I hope you come out of this OK – and the state of Wisconsin gets back to life as safely as it can.

  6. Also, I’d like to rephrase my sentence of
    ”Just because people’s freedom is being impacted doesn’t automatically make it bad”
    Didn’t word that very well.
    I meant that, in this instance, some daily restrictions on life are sometimes necessary, to both protect healthcare, and the most vulnerable. I understand that restrictions are not a long-term solution.

    • Could you cite some references for your numerical claims? You mention Kentucky, but when I look at those numbers they seem pretty tame. Detroit was already hit pretty hard before the protests (not Michigan as a whole necessarily, rural areas have been virtually unaffected medically, but seriously affected economically) and I’m not finding anything that reference a major spike. My understanding on Sweden is that it falls into the statistical average of other European countries, well below countries like France and Spain, and the UK. That’s the information I’m seeing, so I’m curious as to how your information differs so drastically.

      • For sure, the Kentucky thing came from a NY times article and its references this https://www.wcpo.com/news/government/state-government/kentucky-state-government-news/live-beshear-gives-sunday-afternoon-covid-19-update

        The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation was where I got my info regarding a major spike coming from. However, I do not guarantee that this sources will be 100% accurate in this moment in time, or indeed shortly in the future.

        The number of cases in Sweden are indeed low, but remember it’s not nearly as dense as the UK, despite being a much bigger country in terms of mass.

      • Very interesting. The Governor of Kentucky gave his news conference on Sunday April 19th, the protests were on Wednesday the 15th, and according to press reports had around 100 people in attendance. According to Science Daily most people who become infected develop symptoms within eleven and a half days. If you look at the graph of confirmed cases in Kentucky it doesn’t seem like a major bump.

        https://www.wlky.com/article/coronavirus-kentucky-indiana-curve/32110616#

        In addition, even if there was a major bump it couldn’t have come from the protest, as there was insufficient incubation period between the protest and the news conference for those cases to manifest.

        I mean no disrespect when I say this, I’m a big fan of your blog and you write some of the most exciting and interesting non-fiction stories out there, but that sort of wait and see approach to the Swedish statistics is exactly the type of proof-by-lack of evidence that just isn’t compelling for me given the grave cost of the conventional approach.

      • No disrespect taken man, if someone proves me wrong or challenges my opinion – I’m all for it.

        Yes, perhaps I would benefit to take a closer look at Sweden – it seems to be an interesting case.

  7. “I have been told by many people that my public speaking skills are excellent.”

    As are your writing skills, which are also one of the arrows in an effective lawyer’s quiver.

  8. Swede here.
    I’m happy with our approach. Being a Nordic country, people hate being near each other anyway, which probably makes it easier for us to follow the 6 ft stay away rule. Also, Swedes are very good rule followers and we generally trust what our government tells us, so most people follow all the guidelines and most people are working from home, so when you go on a subway or bus, you sit alone. No one will sit next to anyone on a bus and on the subway, it’s a 4-seat quad per person.

    5 restaurants this weekend violated the restrictions by sitting people too close to each other and were shut down.

    There are almost 0 flights. Very quiet skies. We have a few emergency flights out once or twice a week, but that seems to be it.

    I think for our mental health, it’s good that we can go out and be in nature. Nice to get an ice cream cone. And when I go to a restaurant, everyone is seated 3 tables away from each other. (Not all restaurants are open though). Lots of food trucks going around lately, which is great.

    Swedes also like to shame each other, so if you step out of line on the recommended restrictions, people will yell at you. 🙂

    • Thanks for the update. Hating on Sweden’s approach has become a religion for the rest of the world. A very stupid religion in my opinion. When the restaurants in Wisconsin asked if they could open on May 1st with similar restrictions to what you have described the Governor said no way. There was a recent survey of businesses here, and 35% of them said they may have to close their doors permanently. Hmm… Could we be doing better?

    • The comments on Sweden and the Swedes is really interesting from the prospective of a Wyomingite. The joke here is that we’ve had social distancing down since 1890, when we became a state.
      Anyhow, as a cultural matter, we aren’t big on close contact already. The whole hugging thing that’s come into American culture on the past 20 years really creeps us out and you can tell who is from here by our desire to avoid it. We barely tolerate shaking hands in normal situations.
      Our governor did issue a quarantine order, but not a shelter in place order. With few people, a very narrow economy, and an outdoor culture, we have this thing down and are avoiding each other probably to a much larger degree than some areas with real shelter in place order. None the less, we’ve taken criticism from other states.

      • Location does make a huge difference. My sister lives in Iowa, and has been impressed by how the governor there has divided the state into rural vs. urban zones and changes the restrictions based on the risk inherent in that location. I haven’t looked into it yet, but that sort of model seems to make more sense than a blanket shutdown.

  9. Thank YOU for listening to others, that is a most important job! And for seeing the trials and tribulations others are facing like DV.

    You sure are long winded enough to make a gifted lawyer .. nice to meet you 🙂

  10. domestic abuse is real. I appreciate your posting about this.

    in my family’s case, my parent’s divorce and my mother’s leaving far, far away, is what had kept her alive from my father’s physical abuse.

    it is incredibly sad that those persons on the victim end of abuse in the home are suffering so much more because of this lockdown.

    but it is good that it is more recognized now. hopefully, the greater awareness will cause for more assistance to victims in the coming future.

    • by the way, I had never realized my moods were affected by weather – until I had lived in Wisconsin years ago, and the blizzards in May had really made me be in utter gloom. but perhaps that is due to my not ever having been accustomed to cold climates.

      cheers!

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  12. I thought of becoming a lawyer on more than one occasion. But never had the opportunity. Family law sounds annoying and boring. Like you, I’d prefer criminal law.

    “I get to talk to people and listen to them with absolutely no agenda or goal in mind. I just hear what they say and take it in.” That is pretty cool. However, I do think those people have an agenda, too. They want someone to commiserate with them. They are looking for pity and compassion.

    We knew, going into this, that domestic abuse cases would be on the rise. Nothing surprising. (I did not mean for it to sound so cold. I really do feel for people who are trapped in those situations.) In one of my recent posts, I did mention abuse-related calls in the UK. Kids called to report their parents because the latter would not let them go outside. “Abuse” has many different meanings.

    I’m not saying lockdown was the best idea. I’m not saying it was the worst, either. One way or another, there will always be collateral damage. It’s the sad truth. We all react to things differently. Personally, I am having a tough time understanding why people are so depressed about having to stay at home. I mean, I know WHY, but I don’t feel the same way they do. I know their reasoning is valid, but it just doesn’t apply to me.

    It was interesting to read a comment regarding Sweden written by a Swedish citizen. It seems idyllic to me (at least that aspect.).

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